how Brexit will end There are at least three realistic scenarios
On Monday, October 21, it was expected that the British parliament could finally hold the final vote on the deal with the EU, which Boris Johnson concluded last week. The situation is even more complicated because parliamentarians do not know what to expect in case of rejection of the proposed agreement. What then awaits Britain? Hard Brexit at the end of this month? Another postponement of exit from the European Union? Repeated referendum? None of these options seem unrealistic."Britain froze awaiting a decision ...". This phrase is so beaten that even starting with it a description of the situation that has now developed on Foggy Albion is a little awkward. Britain has been living in constant time trouble for two years now, when the inevitable exit from the EU is forever approaching, and then the country receives a respite from the leaders of Europe and it all starts again. Now the moment of maximum tension has come: for the first time in all time, the Prime Minister so wants to leave the European Union at all costs, and for the first time there are no guarantees that rejecting his plan will not lead to a complete collapse and a hard Brexit. In the meantime, Johnson is preparing for a decisive battle for leaving the EU and his premiership, consider what options can become a reality in the near future.
Acceptance of the Johnson Deal
The simplest and most understandable scenario - the British parliament this week approves the deal that Prime Minister Johnson made and leaves the pan-European space in accordance with it. This is the most calm scenario that will allow the United Kingdom to avoid big shocks. At the same time, the situation is too confused to say for sure whether parliamentarians will accept it. In the UK there are groups that do not want to see Brexit in any form, there are entire regions that are threatening to leave the United Kingdom if Brexit does happen.
Hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets of British cities who oppose the United Kingdom leaving the EU. There are significant factions in parliament that oppose Johnson’s deal, and even the Ulster Unionists, conservative allies in the government coalition, have refused to support this project because they feel betrayed on the Irish border. That is why a smooth exit with the least losses seems not such an obvious prospect.
Operation Oatmeal
But what if parliamentarians still reject Johnson’s deal? Then the word is already in the EU. It will be he who will have to decide whether to give Britain another postponement, or to provoke a hard break in relations. The English publication The Times, citing its sources, said that the EU was ready to give Britain time until at least February, to still find an acceptable solution. It is difficult to say how much this statement can be taken for real information, because it may well be an act of influence on parliamentarians: it is much easier to vote against Johnson’s project, realizing that they will give you more time, and not be thrown out of the EU under harsh conditions. Therefore, in any case, Britain is preparing for the worst.
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